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Understanding Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital


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    Highlights

  • RAROC adjusts investment returns for risk to provide a clearer comparison across varying risk levels
  • Developed by Bankers Trust in the 1970s, RAROC became a standard tool in banking for evaluating profitability
  • The RAROC formula incorporates revenue, expenses, expected losses, income from capital, and overall capital
  • Unlike basic ROI, RAROC accounts for risk factors, offering a more nuanced view of potential returns
Table of Contents

Understanding Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital

Let me tell you about the risk-adjusted rate on capital—it's a financial metric that tweaks the profitability of an investment based on its expected risk.

Risk-adjusted return on capital, or RAROC, measures your investment returns while factoring in risk. This is a refined version of ROI that lets you compare investments with different risk levels by adjusting returns for expected losses and income from capital. Financial institutions use it a lot to assess potential acquisitions and figure out profitability across business sectors.

Key Takeaways

  • Risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC) adjusts investment returns for risk, aiming for clarity in financial decision-making.
  • RAROC, developed by Bankers Trust in the 1970s, is widely used in banks and financial sectors for evaluating profits across industries.
  • The formula for RAROC takes into account revenue, expenses, expected losses, capital income, and overall capital.
  • RAROC is distinct from similar measures by incorporating risk factors, offering a nuanced view of potential returns.

The Formula for RAROC

Here's the formula for RAROC: RAROC = (r - e - el + ifc) / c, where RAROC is risk-adjusted return on capital, r is revenue, e is expenses, el is expected loss (which equals the average loss expected over a specified period), ifc is income from capital (which equals capital charges times the risk-free rate), and c is capital.

How RAROC Provides Insight into Investment Risk

Risk-adjusted return on capital is a useful tool when you're assessing potential acquisitions. RAROC assumes that riskier investments should offer higher returns. If you're a company comparing two or more different projects or investments, you need to keep this in mind.

The Origins of RAROC at Bankers Trust

RAROC is a risk-based profitability measure that helps analysts assess financial performance across sectors.

Bankers Trust, under Dan Borge, developed the RAROC metric in the late 1970s. It gained popularity through the 1980s as an adjustment to simple return on capital (ROC). At the time, Bankers Trust was shifting from a commercial bank to an investment bank model, focusing on securities and derivatives.

These wholesale activities drove the development of the RAROC model. Publicity led other banks to create their own versions, often under different names but measuring the same thing. Alternatives include return on risk-adjusted capital (RORAC) and risk-adjusted return on risk-adjusted capital (RARORAC). RAROC remains the most common. Even non-banking firms use RAROC to gauge the impact of operational, market, and credit risks on finances.

Exploring RORAC: A Comparison with RAROC

Don't confuse it with RAROC—return on risk-adjusted capital (RORAC) is used in financial analysis to calculate a rate of return, evaluating projects and investments with higher risk based on the capital at risk. Companies are using RORAC more as risk management gains emphasis. The calculation is similar to RAROC, but the key difference is that RAROC adjusts the rate of return for risk, while RORAC adjusts the capital.

How Can You Determine the Expected Loss From Capital?

To calculate RAROC, you need to know the expected loss from an investment. Estimate the odds of failure or default and multiply that by the loss you'd face if it happens.

What Are Other Methods of Assessing Risk and Return?

There are many tools for investors and business analysts to assess risk and return. For instance, you might look at the Sharpe ratio, which compares an investment's return and its standard deviation from that return to the risk-free rate.

Are There Drawbacks to Using Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital?

Yes, RAROC is an imperfect measure with drawbacks. Calculating it can be difficult and requires a lot of data since you need to estimate potential losses. Overrelying on RAROC can lead to bad decisions—an investment with a high RAROC might still be poor if the risk of failure is extremely high.

How Does Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital Differ from Other Return on Investment Measures?

RAROC stands out from other ROI methods because it considers the risks involved. If you can double your money on a coin flip or lose it all, the ROI on success is 100%, but RAROC would be 50% due to the expected loss. This gives you a more thorough understanding of an investment's potential returns.

The Bottom Line

Risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC) gives financial analysts and investors a framework to assess and compare investments, factoring in risk. By using RAROC, you can spot opportunities with higher returns relative to risks. Remember its limitations—don't rely solely on it, as a high RAROC doesn't erase the chance of big failure. Calculating RAROC is essential if you want to optimize capital use and make informed decisions.

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