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What Is a Mortality Table?


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    Highlights

  • Mortality tables predict the likelihood of death based on age and other factors like gender, smoking, and occupation
Table of Contents

What Is a Mortality Table?

Let me explain what a mortality table is. It's also known as a life table or actuarial table, and it shows the rate of deaths in a defined population during a selected time interval, or survival rates from birth to death. These tables typically indicate the general probability of a person's death before their next birthday, based on their current age. You'll see them used to inform the construction of insurance policies and other forms of liability management.

Key Takeaways

  • Mortality tables use a large number of factors to predict the likelihood of death in an individual within the current year.
  • Mortality tables are used heavily by insurance companies and the U.S. Social Security Administration.
  • Mortality tables are generally split into “period” life tables and “cohort” life tables.
  • For the purposes of actuaries, “cohort” tables are most often used.

How a Mortality Table Works

Mortality tables are mathematically complex grids of numbers that show the probability of death for members of a given population within a defined period of time, based on a large number of factored variables. They tend to differ in their construction when catered to men and women, so they're usually built separately for each gender.

Other characteristics can also be included to distinguish different risks, such as smoking status, occupation, and socio-economic class. There are even actuarial tables that determine longevity in relation to weight.

The life insurance industry relies heavily on mortality tables, as does the U.S. Social Security Administration. Both use them to best establish details surrounding their coverage policies based on the individuals they will cover.

Important Note

Mortality tables were first introduced by Raymond Pearl in 1921 for the purposes of furthering ecological studies.

Types of Mortality Tables

In general practice, there are two types of mortality tables. First, the period life table is used to determine mortality rates for a specific time period of a certain population. The other type is called the cohort life table, also referred to as a generation life table. It represents the overall mortality rates of a certain population's entire lifetime. Between the two, the cohort life table is most often used due to its higher applicability to actuarialism.

Requirements for Mortality Tables

Mortality tables are based on characteristics such as gender and age. They give probabilities based on deaths per thousand, or the number of people per 1,000 living who are expected to die in a given year. Life insurance companies use mortality tables to help determine premiums and to make sure the insurance company remains solvent.

Mortality tables typically cover from birth through age 100, in one-year increments. You can use a mortality table to look up the probability of death for someone of any age. Not surprisingly, the probability of death increases with age.

To use mortality tables, you first need the age of an individual to see what the table says about the chances that they will die when compared with the rest of the group. In the case of a newborn male, there is less than one half of one-10,000th of a percent that he will die when compared with the rest of the group. That would give him a life expectancy of around 75. However, according to the 2005 mortality table used by the Social Security Administration, a 119-year-old man has a more than 90 percent chance of dying when compared with the rest of the group, or a life expectancy of just over six months.

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