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What Is Regulatory Risk?


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    Highlights

  • Regulatory risk arises from changes in laws that can materially affect businesses by increasing costs or altering competitive dynamics
  • It differs from compliance risk, which involves violating existing regulations rather than adapting to new ones
  • Examples include antitrust enforcement on Big Tech and stricter pollution standards due to climate concerns
  • To reduce it, companies should monitor regulatory changes, establish compliance frameworks, and remain adaptable
Table of Contents

What Is Regulatory Risk?

Let me explain regulatory risk directly: it's the risk that a shift in laws or regulations will significantly affect a security, business, sector, or market. When governments or regulatory bodies make these changes, they can drive up your business operating costs, make investments less appealing, or reshape the competitive environment in your sector. In the worst scenarios, such changes can completely dismantle a company's business model.

Key Takeaways

You need to grasp that regulatory risk means potential harm to a business or investment from alterations in laws or regulations impacting that business, sector, or market. While government regulations are often essential for public welfare, they can raise your costs of doing business or restrict growth opportunities, which eats into profits and diminishes investment returns. Remember, compliance risk is separate—it's about the danger of your business breaking laws or regulations that are already in place.

Understanding Regulatory Risk

Almost any business you run can encounter substantial regulatory risk, since governments have the authority to enforce laws on operations within their borders. These risks frequently emerge from public outrage over harms caused by a business or sector. Even if no new laws come into effect, you as a business leader must evaluate and monitor these risks, ready to respond if they arise. This process can be lengthy and costly, as regulatory issues from just one matter might persist for years.

Examples of Regulatory Risk

Consider the Big Tech sector, where companies like Meta (once Facebook), Amazon, Google, and Apple face major regulatory risk from antitrust enforcement. This stems from increasing public backlash against their massive market power and social influence. Looking back, the 2002 Sarbanes-Oxley Act is a clear case—it imposed tougher accounting standards and harsher penalties for securities violations, triggered by scandals at Enron and WorldCom in the early 2000s. Another example involves stricter pollution rules for manufacturers or mileage standards for car makers, driven by public worries about climate change. Here, the risk isn't from business misconduct but from broader public good concerns, like environmental impacts.

Regulatory Risk vs. Compliance Risk

Compliance risk is the chance that your company gets caught violating established laws or regulations, often due to poor controls, negligence, or simple errors. Maintaining compliance and ensuring it happens can be expensive for you. Like regulatory risk, handling compliance is crucial to your overall risk management. Managing regulatory risk requires you to think strategically ahead, monitor public opinion, and track regulatory developments in your sector. In contrast, compliance risk demands knowledge of current laws and a methodical way to confirm your company's adherence to them all.

Is Regulatory Risk Systematic Risk?

No, regulatory risk is unsystematic—it's specific to a company or industry. Regulations don't always affect the entire market but target particular entities, so you classify it as unsystematic risk.

What Is an Example of Regulatory Risk?

Take new government environmental laws that enforce tighter emissions standards on auto companies. This can raise your production costs, demand investments in R&D and new tech, or restrict sales of existing vehicles, ultimately cutting profits and weakening market position.

How Do You Reduce Regulatory Risk?

  • Complete a thorough risk evaluation to identify potential issues.
  • Establish compliance frameworks and strong corporate governance.
  • Train your staff on relevant regulations.
  • Monitor for regulatory breaches and stay updated on news and changes.
  • Implement continuous regulatory management strategies.
  • Use regulatory software to streamline processes.
  • Remain adaptable to any regulatory shifts.

The Bottom Line

Regulatory risk represents the possible downsides from legal changes that affect your businesses or investments, potentially hiking costs, curbing growth, or upending models. You must keep informed and flexible, anticipating shifts that could harm your operations.

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