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What Is the Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR)?


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    Highlights

  • The GFSR is a semiannual IMF report assessing global financial stability and emerging market financing
  • It focuses on financial imbalances that could disrupt global markets and provides policy recommendations
  • The report replaced the International Capital Markets Report and Emerging Market Financing Report for more frequent and contextual assessments
  • Recent editions, like April 2021, highlight vulnerabilities from pandemic responses and asynchronous economic recoveries
Table of Contents

What Is the Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR)?

Let me explain what the Global Financial Stability Report, or GFSR, really is. It's a semiannual report put out by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that directly assesses the stability of global financial markets and financing for emerging markets. You should know it comes out twice a year, specifically in April and October.

Key Takeaways

Here's what you need to grasp about the GFSR: it's that semiannual IMF report evaluating global financial markets' stability and emerging-market financing. It zeroes in on current conditions, particularly financial and structural imbalances that might trigger disruptions in global financial stability and access to financing for emerging-market countries. Remember, the GFSR took over from two earlier IMF reports—the annual International Capital Markets Report and the quarterly Emerging Market Financing Report.

Understanding the Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR)

When you look at the GFSR, it concentrates on today's conditions, especially those financial and structural imbalances that could lead to upsets in global financial stability and financing access for emerging-market nations. It stresses the consequences of financial and economic imbalances that get pointed out in the IMF's other key publication, the World Economic Outlook. The topics it covers typically include systemic risk assessments in global financial markets, worldwide debt management, emerging economic markets, and ongoing economic crises that might impact finances around the world.

You should note that the GFSR replaced those two prior IMF reports—the annual International Capital Markets Report and the quarterly Emerging Market Financing Report—to deliver more frequent evaluations of global financial markets and to place emerging market financing in a broader global context. Beyond just assessing market conditions, the GFSR also offers recommendations directly to central banks, policymakers, and those overseeing global financial markets.

Take the most recent GFSR from April 2021, for instance—it warns that there's an urgent need to act to prevent a legacy of vulnerabilities while steering clear of a widespread tightening of financial conditions. It points out that actions during the pandemic might lead to unintended issues like overinflated valuations and increasing financial vulnerabilities, and that the recovery will likely be uneven and different between advanced and emerging market economies.

GFSR Example—April 2019

Let me walk you through the April 2019 GFSR as an example. It had a front matter and two chapters. The first chapter covered the rise in short-term and medium-term risks to global financial stability since the October 2018 GFSR. The vulnerabilities it listed went from the financial sector connections in the euro area to issues in the Chinese economy and risks in the housing market.

Because the global economy is so interconnected, these vulnerabilities could pose major risks down the line. For example, China's economy was balancing on a tightrope between boosting short-term growth and curbing excessive leverage through regulatory measures. With China's manufacturing strength and its currency in the IMF's global benchmark indices, these issues could echo across the world economy.

The second chapter addressed risks in the housing market. According to the GFSR, downside risks there included excessive credit growth and the potential for tighter financial conditions ahead.

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