What Is the Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio?
Let me explain the price to free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio directly: it's an equity valuation metric that compares a company's per-share market price to its free cash flow (FCF). This is similar to the price to cash flow metric, but I consider it more accurate because it focuses on free cash flow, which you get by subtracting capital expenditures (CAPEX) from total operating cash flow. This subtraction shows the actual cash available for non-asset-related growth.
As you evaluate companies, remember that this metric helps them make growth decisions and maintain healthy free cash flow levels. It's a straightforward way to gauge operational sustainability.
Key Takeaways
- Price to free cash flow is an equity valuation metric that indicates a company's ability to continue operating, calculated by dividing its market capitalization by free cash flow values.
- Relative to competitor businesses, a lower value for price to free cash flow indicates that the company is undervalued and its stock is relatively cheap.
- Relative to competitor businesses, a higher value for price to free cash flow indicates a company's stock is overvalued.
- The price to free cash flow ratio can be used to compare a company's stock value to its cash management practices over time.
Understanding the Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio
You need to know that a company's free cash flow is crucial—it's a primary indicator of its ability to generate additional revenues, which directly impacts stock pricing. The P/FCF ratio is calculated simply: divide market capitalization by free cash flow.
For instance, if a company has $100 million in operating cash flow and $50 million in CAPEX, its free cash flow is $50 million. With a market cap of $1 billion, the ratio is 20—meaning the stock trades at 20 times its free cash flow. If you see a ratio like 0.93, where free cash flow exceeds market cap, check if it's typical for the industry; otherwise, dig deeper to uncover potential issues.
Non-typical figures for a company's size or sector should prompt further investigation. The business might be facing financial trouble, or there could be other factors at play—it's your job to find out.
How Is the Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio Used?
Since P/FCF is a value metric, lower numbers typically mean the company is undervalued, making its stock relatively cheap compared to its free cash flow. Higher numbers suggest overvaluation.
Value investors like you often prefer companies with low or decreasing P/FCF values, indicating high or rising free cash flow against low stock prices relative to peers. Avoid those with high ratios, as they show share prices are inflated compared to cash flow.
In essence, the lower the P/FCF, the better the bargain. Compare it to similar companies in the industry for the best insights, or track it over time to see if cash flow to share price is improving or declining.
The Ratio Can Be Manipulated
Be aware that companies can manipulate this ratio. For example, they might delay inventory purchases or accounts payable until after reporting periods to preserve cash levels temporarily.
This manipulation underscores why you must analyze a company's finances comprehensively over several periods. Look at how it manages and uses cash, and how investors value it overall.
Price to Free Cash Flow FAQs
What is a good price to free cash flow ratio? It's one that shows the stock is undervalued when compared to similar companies—generally, the lower the ratio, the cheaper the stock.
Is a high price to free cash flow ratio good? No, a high ratio—above industry norms—often means the stock is overvalued.
Is price to cash flow the same as price to free cash flow? Not exactly; price to cash flow includes all cash, while P/FCF subtracts CAPEX, working capital, and dividends to focus on leftover cash, better indicating operational continuity.
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