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What Is Systemic Risk?


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    Highlights

  • Systemic risk arises when a company's failure could destabilize an entire industry or economy, often linked to 'too big to fail' institutions
  • The 2008 financial crisis highlighted systemic risk through the collapses of Lehman Brothers and near-collapse of AIG, leading to frozen credit markets
  • Governments intervene to minimize systemic risk, as seen in the bailout of AIG with over $180 billion to prevent broader financial fallout
  • The Dodd-Frank Act was enacted to regulate key financial institutions and limit systemic risk, though its impact on small business growth remains debated
Table of Contents

What Is Systemic Risk?

Let me explain systemic risk directly to you: it's the possibility that an event at a single company could trigger severe instability or even collapse an entire industry or the whole economy. This was a major factor in the 2008 financial crisis. Companies that pose this kind of risk are often called 'too big to fail.'

These institutions are massive compared to their industries or form a big chunk of the overall economy. If a company is highly interconnected with others, that also makes it a source of systemic risk. Don't confuse this with systematic risk, which affects the entire financial system.

Understanding Systemic Risk

The federal government often uses systemic risk as a reason to step in and intervene in the economy, and it's usually justified. The idea is that through targeted regulations and actions, the government can reduce or minimize the ripple effects from a company-level event.

It's important for you to know that even though some companies are seen as 'too big to fail,' they absolutely will fail if the government doesn't intervene during tough economic times. However, there are cases where the government chooses not to act, especially if the economy has just had a big run-up and needs a cooldown. This is rare, though, because it can destabilize things more than expected, thanks to shifts in consumer sentiment.

Examples of Systemic Risk

Take the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010, officially the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. It brought in a huge set of new laws aimed at preventing another Great Recession by tightly regulating key financial institutions to cut down on systemic risk. There's ongoing debate about whether we need to tweak these reforms to help small businesses grow.

Lehman Brothers was a prime example because of its size and deep ties to the U.S. economy, making it a clear source of systemic risk. When it collapsed, it caused chaos throughout the financial system and the broader economy. Capital markets froze, and businesses and consumers couldn't get loans unless they were extremely creditworthy and low-risk for lenders.

At the same time, AIG was facing massive financial troubles. Like Lehman, AIG's connections to other institutions marked it as a systemic risk during the crisis. Its assets linked to subprime mortgages and involvement in the residential mortgage-backed securities market via its securities-lending program led to collateral demands, liquidity loss, and a credit rating downgrade as those securities lost value.

While the U.S. government let Lehman go under, it bailed out AIG with more than $180 billion in loans to avoid bankruptcy. Analysts and regulators figured that if AIG failed, it would take down many other financial institutions with it.

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